Monday, January 2, 2012

United Parcel Service (NYSE: UPS) & FedEx Corporation (NYSE: FDX)

UPS and FedEx are the leading companies in delivery services. The recent Holiday season showed signs of growth for the industry, as package volumes increased from the previous season. UPS expected to delivery 120 million packages in the week leading up to Christmas, up 6% from the period a year ago. It also expected to feature at least five days approaching or exceeding 25 million packages, the peak amount last year. FedEx shipped 17 million packages on December 12, marking the busiest day in company history, up 10% from last year's peak. To accommodate for these extra services, UPS and FedEx hired over 50,000 and 20,000 seasonal employees, respectively.

In financial analysis of the two companies, raw data was taken from Google Finance and ratio calculations were performed using Excel. The data for UPS was presented for the quarter ending in September 2011, while for FedEx, it was for the quarter ending in November 2011.

UPS FDX
2011 Close Price 73.19 83.51
2011 Open Price 73.18 93.54
Market Cap (Billion) 70.63 26.26
P/E Ratio 17.77 15.18
EPS 4.12 5.50



Latest Quarterly Data in Millions
Total Revenue 13,166 10,587
Cost of Revenue 9,829 7,892
Net Income 1,042 497
BOP Cash 4,691 1,959
EOP Total Receivables 5,584 4,837
BOP Total Current Assets 12,950 7,963
BOP Net PPE 17,489 15,820
BOP Total Assets 35,152 27,838
EOP Accounts Payable 1,974 1,646
BOP Total Current Liabilities 7,618 4,981
BOP Total Debt 12,161 1,668
BOP Total Liabilities 26,898 12,124
BOP Total Equity 8,254 15,714

Notable differences include the market capitalization, in which UPS nearly three-folds FedEx. Nevertheless, the size of the companies as measured by revenue or total assets doesn't differ drastically. In terms of total equity, FedEx's value actually almost doubles that of UPS. For better understanding, ratio analysis was conducted:

Annualized Ratio Analysis

UPS FDX
Returns on Equity 50.50% 12.65%
Profit Margin 7.91% 4.69%
COGS Margin 74.65% 74.54%
Asset Efficiency Ratio 149.82% 152.12%
Return on Assets 11.86% 7.14%
Fixed Asset Efficiency 301.13% 267.69%
AR Turnover 10.60% 11.42%
AP Turnover 5.02% 5.21%
Cash Level 8.91% 4.63%
Debt to Asset Ratio 34.60% 5.99%
Debt to Capitalization Ratio 59.57% 9.60%
BOP Current Ratio 169.99% 159.87%

UPS nearly doubles FedEx in terms of profit margin, despite similar COGS margin, asset efficiency levels, and comparable levels of sales. But drastically different for the companies is debt. The debt level of UPS is nearly 7-fold that of FedEx. As a result, debt to asset and debt to capitalization ratios are significantly higher for UPS. Despite the higher level of debt, UPS has a higher current ratio and cash levels, illustrating its sound liquidity. Furthermore, given that profits and equity levels have been solidly positive, carrying debt shouldn't be a great concern for UPS. The high level of debt is directly reflected in the higher liability and lower equity values for UPS. As a result of the lower equity, UPS features higher returns to equity (ROE) values.

While FedEx saw its stock price decrease in 2011, UPS barely saw any change. Both companies should see growth as the earnings from Q4 come out and reflect on the increased earnings over this year's Holiday season. Both companies are also likely to remain in close watch as financial troubles continue to plague USPS.

Sources: